TTLA: FORECASTING TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT TRENDS OF VIETNAM'S LEATHER - FOOTWEAR INDUSTRY

1. Full name of the researcher:Le Tran Vu Anh
2. Gender:Male
3. Date of birth: 22/7/1975                                                     
4. Place of birth:Ninh Binh
5. Decision on recognition of PhD student No.:4618/2016/QD-XHNV dated December 29, 2016 of the President of the University of Social Sciences and Humanities - Vietnam National University, Hanoi.
6. Changes in the training process:Extend training period from January 2020 to December 2022; return to work from January 2023.
7. Thesis topic name:FORECASTING TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT TRENDS OF VIETNAM'S LEATHER - FOOTWEAR INDUSTRY
8. Major:Science & Technology Management. 9. Code: 9340412.01
10. Scientific instructor:Associate Professor, Dr. Bui Thanh Nam; Dr. Pham Quang Tri.
11. Summary of new results of the thesis:
The thesis uses the technology foresight method to propose scenarios for the development of Vietnam's leather and footwear technology until 2035. As well as recommendations on strategies and policies for the development of the leather and footwear industry. Although the foresight method has been widely applied in many other fields. However, in the leather and footwear field, this is the latest research work in Vietnam as well as in the world.
Theoretical novelty:
- Although the "foresight" method has been widely applied in research in many fields such as agriculture, aerospace, fisheries, etc. However, in the field of leather and footwear, this is the latest research project in Vietnam as well as in the world.
- The thesis uses the technology foresight method/technique to present the technological development trend of the Vietnamese leather and footwear industry.
- Analyze factors affecting technological development trends of Vietnam's leather and footwear industry.
- Identify leading/important technologies and scenarios for technology development trends of Vietnam's leather and footwear industry to 2035.
Practical novelty:
- Identify technology development trends, leading/important technologies and scenarios of Vietnam's leather and footwear industry to 2035
- Proposing strategies and policy recommendations for technology development of Vietnam's leather and footwear industry by 2035.
- Proposing solutions for businesses in the Vietnamese leather and footwear industry. Market development solutions, green and sustainable production technology solutions suitable for the circular economy trend.
- Proposing solutions for businesses to move towards smart manufacturing and smart factories in the context of Industry 4.0.
12. Practical application
The results of the thesis research can:
- Used as reference material in the teaching and research process on forecasting technological development trends of the Vietnamese leather and footwear industry in particular and technology forecasting in general.
- Recommendations on strategies and policies for the development of the leather and footwear industry: Help policy makers and state agencies manage effectively, avoiding wasting national resources; Help businesses grasp leading/important technologies, to make decisions on self-investment in technology development or technology transfer and application; thereby, avoiding risks and increasing competitive advantages in the international market.
13. Further research directions:Deploy the research method of the thesis to forecast technology development trends on a large scale, national scale; from there, have forecast results and recommend specific policies and strategies on technology development for the Vietnamese leather and footwear industry; support state management agencies, enterprises and organizations and individuals in developing and investing effectively in line with world trends.
14. Published works related to the thesis:
[1]. Le Tran Vu Anh, Bui Mai Trinh (2021), “The impact of innovation and emerging technologies on design education: a study on the footwear sector”, ICERI2021 Proceedings, 8th-9th November 2021, pp. 8824-8830. DOI: 10.21125/iceri.2021.2035.
[2]. Le Tran Vu Anh, Bui Thanh Nam (2023), “Technology Foresight of Vietnam's leather and footwear industry with STEEPL analysis approach”, Universum: Social sciences Vol. 7(98), pp. 17- 23. DOI: 10.32743/UniSoc.2023.98.7.15814
[3]. Le Tran Vu Anh, Bui Van Huan, Nguyen Chi Thanh, Trinh Bui (2024), “Challenges and opportunities for sustainable development of leather sector in Vietnam”, Monograph on “Emerging Trends in Leather Science & Technology” Chapter 14, Springer Nature Singapore. DOI: 10.1007/978-981-99-9754-1. To be published in 2024.
[4]. Le Tran Vu Anh, Nguyen Chi Thanh, Pham Phu Dung, Bui Thanh Nam, Bui Mai Trinh (2023), "Sustainable development trends of Vietnam's leather and footwear industry", Science and Technology Publication of Industry and Trade Magazine (50), pp. 61-65.
[5]. Le Tran Vu Anh (2018), “Application of 3D shoe design software in shoe design and manufacturing”, Science and Technology Publication of Industry and Trade Magazine (35), pp. 44-47.

1. Full name:Le Tran Vu Anh 
2. Sex:Male
3. Date of birth:July 22, 1975 
4. Place of birth:Ninh Binh province
5. Admission decision number:4618/2016/QD-XHNV dated December 29, 2016 by the Rector of the University of Social Sciences and Humanities - Hanoi National University.
6. Changes in academic process:Extend the training period from January 2020 to December 2022; Return to the work unit from January 2023.
7. Official thesis title:TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT IN THE TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT TREND OF VIETNAM'S LEATHER AND FOOTWEAR INDUSTRY
8. Major:Science and Technology Management.
9. Code:9340412.01
10. Supervisors: Assoc.Prof. Dr. Bui Thanh Nam; PhD. Pham Quang Tri.
11. Summary of the new findings of the thesis:
The thesis uses the technology foresight method to propose scenarios for the development of Vietnam's leather and footwear technology until 2035. As well as recommendations on strategies and policies for the development of the leather and footwear industry. Although the foresight method has been widely applied in many other fields. However, in the leather and footwear field, this is the latest research work in Vietnam as well as in the world.
Theoretical novelty:
- Although the "foresight" method has been widely applied in research in many fields such as agriculture, aerospace, aquaculture, etc. However, in the leather - footwear field, this is the latest research project in Vietnam as well as in the world.
- The thesis uses the technology foresight method/technique to present the technology development trend of the Vietnamese leather - footwear industry.
- Analyze the factors affecting the technology development trend of the Vietnamese leather - footwear industry.
- Identify leading/important technologies and scenarios for the technology development trend of the Vietnamese leather and footwear industry to 2035.
Practical novelty:
- Identify technology development trends, leading/important technologies and scenarios for the Vietnamese leather and footwear industry to 2035
- Propose strategies and recommend policies for technology development of the Vietnamese leather and footwear industry to 2035.
- Propose solutions for businesses in the Vietnamese leather and footwear industry. Market development solutions, green and sustainable production technology solutions in line with the circular economy trend.
- Propose solutions for businesses to move towards smart manufacturing and smart factories in the context of Industry 4.0.
12. Practical applicability, if any
The research results of the thesis can be:
- Used as a reference document in teaching and researching on forecasting technology development trends of the Vietnamese leather and footwear industry in particular, as well as technology forecasting in Vietnam.
- Recommendations on strategies and policies for developing the leather and footwear industry: Help policy makers and state agencies manage effectively, avoid wasting national resources; Help businesses grasp leading/important technologies, so that businesses can make decisions to invest in technology development and transfer and apply technologies; Therefore, avoid risks and increase competitive advantages in the international market.
13. Future research direction, if any:Deploy the research method of the thesis to technology forecasts on a large scale, national scale; from there, we have the results of technology foresight and recommend specific policies and strategies on technology development for the Vietnamese leather and footwear industry; support state management agencies, enterprises and organizations and individuals in developing and investing effectively in line with world trends.
14. Thesis-related publications:
[1]. Le Tran Vu Anh, Bui Mai Trinh (2021), “The impact of innovation and emerging technologies on design education: a study on the footwear sector”, ICERI2021 Proceedings, 8th-9th November 2021, pp. 8824-8830. DOI: 10.21125/iceri.2021.2035.
[2]. Le Tran Vu Anh, Bui Thanh Nam (2023), “Technology Foresight of Vietnam's leather and footwear industry with STEEPL analysis approach”, Universum: Social sciences Vol. 7(98), pp. 17-23. DOI: 10.32743/UniSoc.2023.98.7.15814
[3]. Le Tran Vu Anh, Bui Van Huan, Nguyen Chi Thanh, Trinh Bui (2024), “Challenges and opportunities for sustainable development of leather sector in Vietnam”, Monograph on “Emerging Trends in Leather Science & Technology” Chapter 14, Springer Nature Singapore. DOI: 10.1007/978-981-99-9754-1. To be published in August 2024.
[4]. Le Tran Vu Anh, Nguyen Chi Thanh, Pham Phu Dzung, Bui Thanh Nam, Bui Mai Trinh (2023), “Sustainable development trends of Vietnam's leather and footwear industry”, Science and Technology publication of Industry and Trade Magazine (50), pp. 61-65.
[5]. Le Tran Vu Anh (2018), “Application of 3D shoe design software in shoe design and manufacturing”, Science and Technology publication of Industry and Trade Magazine (35), pp. 44-47.