TTLA: FORECASTING TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT TRENDS IN THE VIETNAMESE LEATHER AND FOOTWEAR INDUSTRY

1. Full name of the doctoral candidate:Le Tran Vu Anh
2. Gender:Male
3. Date of birth: 22/7/1975                                                     
4. Place of birth:Ninh Binh
5. Decision number for admitting doctoral students:Decision No. 4618/2016/QD-XHNV dated December 29, 2016, of the Rector of the University of Social Sciences and Humanities - Vietnam National University, Hanoi.
6. Changes in the training process:Training period extended from January 2020 to December 2022; return to work from January 2023.
7. Thesis title:FORECAST OF TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT TRENDS IN THE VIETNAMESE LEATHER AND FOOTWEAR INDUSTRY
8. Major:Science & Technology Management. 9. Code: 9340412.01
10. Scientific supervisor:Assoc. Prof. Dr. Bui Thanh Nam; Dr. Pham Quang Tri.
11. Summary of the new findings of the thesis:
This thesis utilizes the technology foresight method to present scenarios for the development of Vietnam's leather and footwear technology up to 2035, as well as recommendations on strategies and policies for the development of the leather and footwear industry. Although technology foresight has been widely applied in research across many other fields, this is the most recent research study in Vietnam and globally in the leather and footwear sector.
Theoretical novelty:
- Although the "foresight" method has been widely applied in research across many fields such as agriculture, aerospace, and aquaculture, this is the latest research study in the leather and footwear industry, both in Vietnam and worldwide.
- This thesis uses the technology foresight method/technique to present the technological development trends of the Vietnamese leather and footwear industry.
- Analyze the factors influencing the technological development trends of Vietnam's leather and footwear industry.
- Identify the leading/key technologies and scenarios for the technological development trends of Vietnam's leather and footwear industry up to 2035.
Practical novelty:
- Identifying technological development trends, leading/important technologies, and scenarios for the Vietnamese leather and footwear industry up to 2035.
- Proposing strategies and policy recommendations for the technological development of Vietnam's leather and footwear industry until 2035.
- Proposing solutions for businesses in Vietnam's leather and footwear industry. Solutions for market development, and green, sustainable production technology solutions in line with the circular economy trend.
- Proposing solutions for businesses to move towards smart manufacturing and smart factories in the context of Industry 4.0.
12. Practical applications
The research findings of this thesis may include:
- To be used as a reference document in teaching and research on forecasting technological development trends in the Vietnamese leather and footwear industry in particular, as well as technology forecasting in general.
- Recommendations on strategies and policies for the development of the leather and footwear industry: To help policymakers and government agencies manage effectively and avoid wasting national resources; to help businesses grasp leading/important technologies, enabling them to make informed decisions about whether to invest in technology development themselves or to transfer and apply technology; thereby preventing risks and increasing competitive advantages in the international market.
13. Future research directions:The research methodology of this thesis will be applied to forecast technological development trends on a large scale, at the national level; thereby providing forecast results and specific policy and strategy recommendations for technological development in Vietnam's leather and footwear industry; and supporting state management agencies, businesses, and organizations and individuals in developing and investing effectively in line with global trends.
14. Published works related to the dissertation:
[1]. Le Tran Vu Anh, Bui Mai Trinh (2021), “The impact of innovation and emerging technologies on design education: a study on the footwear sector”, ICERI2021 Proceedings, 8th-9th November 2021, pp. 8824-8830. DOI: 10.21125/iceri.2021.2035.
[2]. Le Tran Vu Anh, Bui Thanh Nam (2023), “Technology Foresight of Vietnam's leather and footwear industry with STEEPL analysis approach”, Universum: Social sciences Vol. 7(98), pp. 17- 23. DOI: 10.32743/UniSoc.2023.98.7.15814
[3]. Le Tran Vu Anh, Bui Van Huan, Nguyen Chi Thanh, Trinh Bui (2024), “Challenges and opportunities for sustainable development of leather sector in Vietnam”, Monograph on “Emerging Trends in Leather Science & Technology” Chapter 14, Springer Nature Singapore. DOI: 10.1007/978-981-99-9754-1. To be published in 2024.
[4]. Le Tran Vu Anh, Nguyen Chi Thanh, Pham Phu Dung, Bui Thanh Nam, Bui Mai Trinh (2023), “Sustainable development trends of Vietnam's leather and footwear industry”, Science and Technology publication of Industry and Trade Magazine (50), pp. 61-65.
[5]. Le Tran Vu Anh (2018), “Application of 3D shoe design software in shoe manufacturing design”, Science and Technology publication of Industry and Trade Magazine (35), pp. 44-47.

1. Full name:Le Tran Vu Anh 
2. Sex:Male
3. Date of birth:July 22, 1975 
4. Place of birth:Ninh Binh province
5. Admission decision number:4618/2016/QD-XHNV dated December 29, 2016 by the Rector of the University of Social Sciences and Humanities - Hanoi National University.
6. Changes in academic process:Extend the training period from January 2020 to December 2022; Return to the work unit from January 2023.
7. Official thesis title:TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT IN THE TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT TREND OF VIETNAM'S LEATHER AND FOOTWEAR INDUSTRY
8. Major:Science and Technology Management.
9. Code:9340412.01
10. Supervisors: Assoc.Prof. Dr. Bui Thanh Nam; PhD. Pham Quang Tri.
11. Summary of the new findings of the thesis:
The thesis uses the technology foresight method to propose scenarios for the development of Vietnam's leather and footwear technology until 2035. As well as recommendations on strategies and policies for the development of the leather and footwear industry. Although the foresight method has been widely applied in many other fields. However, in the leather and footwear field, this is the latest research work in Vietnam as well as in the world.
Theoretical novelty:
- Although the "foresight" method has been widely applied in research in many fields such as agriculture, aerospace, aquaculture, etc. However, in the leather - footwear field, this is the latest research project in Vietnam as well as in the world.
- The thesis uses the technology foresight method/technique to present the technology development trend of the Vietnamese leather - footwear industry.
- Analyze the factors affecting the technology development trend of the Vietnamese leather - footwear industry.
- Identify leading/important technologies and scenarios for the technology development trend of the Vietnamese leather and footwear industry to 2035.
Practical and clean:
- Identify technology development trends, leading/important technologies and scenarios for the Vietnamese leather and footwear industry to 2035
- Propose strategies and recommend policies for technology development of the Vietnamese leather and footwear industry to 2035.
- Propose solutions for businesses in the Vietnamese leather and footwear industry. Market development solutions, green and sustainable production technology solutions in line with the circular economy trend.
- Propose solutions for businesses to move towards smart manufacturing and smart factories in the context of Industry 4.0.
12. Practical applicability, if any
The research results of the thesis can be:
- Used as a reference document in teaching and researching on forecasting technology development trends of the Vietnamese leather and footwear industry in particular, as well as technology forecasting in Vietnam.
- Recommendations on strategies and policies for developing the leather and footwear industry: Help policy makers and state agencies manage effectively, avoid wasting national resources; Help businesses grasp leading/important technologies, so that businesses can make decisions to invest in technology development and transfer and apply technologies; Therefore, avoid risks and increase competitive advantages in the international market.
13. Future research direction, if any:Deploy the research method of the thesis to technology forecasts on a large scale, national scale; from there, we have the results of technology foresight and recommend specific policies and strategies on technology development for the Vietnamese leather and footwear industry; support state management agencies, enterprises and organizations and individuals in developing and investing effectively in line with world trends.
14. Thesis-related publications:
[1]. Le Tran Vu Anh, Bui Mai Trinh (2021), “The impact of innovation and emerging technologies on design education: a study on the footwear sector”, ICERI2021 Proceedings, 8th-9th November 2021, pp. 8824-8830. DOI: 10.21125/iceri.2021.2035.
[2]. Le Tran Vu Anh, Bui Thanh Nam (2023), “Technology Foresight of Vietnam's leather and footwear industry with STEEPL analysis approach”, Universum: Social sciences Vol. 7(98), pp. 17-23. DOI: 10.32743/UniSoc.2023.98.7.15814
[3]. Le Tran Vu Anh, Bui Van Huan, Nguyen Chi Thanh, Trinh Bui (2024), “Challenges and opportunities for sustainable development of leather sector in Vietnam”, Monograph on “Emerging Trends in Leather Science & Technology” Chapter 14, Springer Nature Singapore. DOI: 10.1007/978-981-99-9754-1. To be published in August 2024.
[4]. Le Tran Vu Anh, Nguyen Chi Thanh, Pham Phu Dzung, Bui Thanh Nam, Bui Mai Trinh (2023), “Sustainable development trends of Vietnam's leather and footwear industry”, Science and Technology publication of Industry and Trade Magazine (50), pp. 61-65.
[5]. Le Tran Vu Anh (2018), “Application of 3D shoe design software in shoe design and manufacturing”, Science and Technology publication of Industry and Trade Magazine (35), pp. 44-47.